Saturday, October 30, 2021

The world is waiting for the Iran-US nuclear deal

 



Although Iran's nuclear talks have done between the P5 + 1 or the P4 + 1 with Iran during the past years.

 I think the main talks, 

(If it is to be concluded), It must be between Iran and the United States directly.

Achieving a nuclear agreement between Iran and the United States, etc.

  It is an urgent historical need to prevent war and destruction in the region and the world.

We know the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran, Ayatollah Khamenei, has previously ordered the Rouhani administration to refrain from negotiating with the United States due to the breach of the Trump administration. For this reason, negotiations were held between Iran and the main members of the European Union and China, Russia.

The talks in April 2021 were on the eve of the final agreement that the new government headed by Ayatollah Ra'isi would take power in Iran in August 2021 following the presidential election, so the talks were suspended for several months and Iran finally agreed with the European Union that the Negotiations will resume in early November 2021, next week.

I, Saeed Shojaei Saadi, as an analyst and Internet-oriented activist of culture and peace, predict that Iran and the United States, with the participation of Russia, China, Britain, France and Germany, will soon reach an agreement.

Both the people of Iran and the United States, as well as the governments of Mr. Raisi and Mr. Biden, are in dire need of such an agreement for domestic and foreign reasons.

People and governments around the world are waiting for this agreement to be reached for various reasons so that the world will not see another great and devastating world war.

As I have explained my reasons many times before, I will refrain from re-stating them here, and invite those who are interested to read my previous analysis and articles on my web pages to find out my reasons. 

I remind in the end that achieving a nuclear agreement between Iran and the United States, etc., is an urgent historical need to prevent war and destruction in the region and the world.

Sunday, October 24, 2021

To: the Washington Institute for Near East Policy

 Dear Sir

I, Saeed Shojaei Saadi, as an Internet-based analyst and researcher with decades of research and peaceful activities in the field of spreading culture and human and moral values, urge you to conclude negotiations by giving suggestions and advice to the US government for the P5 + 1 with Iran in future talks if you have influence over the US government, otherwise my prediction is a major regional or global war in which the two sides will most likely use nuclear weapons etc.

My prediction also shows that in such a war, the human casualties will be between several hundred million and several billion killed and wounded, and a large part of the planet's environment will be destroyed.

My prediction is based on the following facts: 

1- It seems that the Islamic Republic of Iran feels that it has been subjected to the most severe military, political and security aggression by Western countries and their regional allies, so in the end, there is no other way but to build atomic bombs and intercontinental ballistic missiles. 

According to the Western and Israeli media reports as well as statements by officials indicates that Iran has acquired the technology to immediately build atomic bombs and intercontinental ballistic missiles and has created the necessary infrastructure inside the country. 

Although the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran, Ayatollah Khamenei, has issued a "fatwa" banning the construction of a nuclear bomb, but according to Islamic law, and as the former Minister of Intelligence of the Islamic Republic of Iran, Mr. Alavi, officially stated (Quote by theme):

If the existence of the Islamic Republic of Iran is endangered, this fatwa will be revoked and a new fatwa will be issued for the construction of atomic bombs and intercontinental ballistic missiles.

2- It seems that the anti-Iranian and extremist policies of the previous and current US administrations, especially Mr. Trump's administration, have caused the Islamic Republic of Iran to lose hope of reaching an agreement with the West on its nuclear program and other issues. And take over Russia and China.

Its very easy to understand that An alliance between Russia, China and Iran, which has great power and influence in the Middle East, could seriously jeopardize the security and national interests of Western countries and their allies in the Middle East.

So it is time for right-wing and extremist politicians in US and other Western governments to immediately reconsider their anti-Iranian policies AND RESTORE WISDOM.

3- It seems that the possibility of a nuclear war between Israel and the Islamic Republic of Iran and their supporters has increased a lot in current months.

I predict that if such a war takes place, it will soon turn into World War III.

4. In recent years, I have written various letters to officials of international organizations and leaders of different countries, including the presidents of the United States of America, stating that the leaders of different countries are rapidly preparing the situations for World War III with their wrong and dangerous policies. 

I explained the need to strengthen the role of the United Nations to prevent conflicts and rivalries between countries from turning into a world war.

Unfortunately, the United Nations has lost its effectiveness in the world and has become an ineffective organization whose Secretary-General only regrets the outbreak of war and practically shows that the United Nations is unable to play any positive role in securing peace and stability of the world. 

Finally, I wish success to all those who work for world peace and security and to prevent the outbreak of World War III (including myself), and I declare my readiness to give a speech at any scientific and media center that officially invites me If I knew it would be useful for spreading peace in the world.

Thanks

Saeed Shojaei Saadi

Shiraz, 10/24/2021

shogaiee@gmail.com


Wednesday, October 20, 2021

What are the main of global crises, especially Iran, that could lead to World War III?

 



If we thoroughly examine the background and current situation of crisis centers in different parts of the world, it can be clearly seen that some of the following main centers of tension can lead the world to major regional and global wars.

Of course, we can not ignore the possibility of the impact of these crisis centers on each other because they are very important and decisive.

The  heart of crisis in the world in the current situation are:

1. The annexation of the Crimean Peninsula to Russia, which has led to the accumulation of a large part of the armies of various pro-Ukrainian countries in the Black Sea for a possible confrontation with Russia.

2. The official announcement of the President of China for Taiwan's accession to China,  even by applying force.

In addition, the old differ aces between China, Indonesia and Australia etc. on the ownership of the sea, are not ineffective in this regard.


3- The insecurity crisis caused by the attacks of the West and its allies on countries such as Afghanistan, Libya, Syria, Lebanon and Yemen.

4- The nuclear issue of the Islamic Republic of Iran and its siege by Israel and countries such as Pakistan, Azerbaijan, Turkey and some Arab countries in the Persian Gulf.

Studies show that the crisis that could soon turn into a major world war is the Iranian nuclear issue and the covert efforts to unite Israel, Turkey, Pakistan, Azerbaijan, as well as with the full support of the West and the Persian Gulf countries against the Islamic Republic of Iran. 

 Research has led me to this important analysis that if the forthcoming nuclear talks between Iran and the United States and others fail, the Islamic Republic of Iran will have no choice but to arm itself with nuclear weapons and long-range drones and missiles. 

Especially since Iran has acquired their necessaries domestic technology and manufacturing power many years ago according to reports from various officials, as well as Western, Israeli and Arab media.

It is a fact that the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Revolution, Ayatollah Khamenei, has banned the construction of nuclear weapons in a fatwa, but there is also an important fact that Islamic rulings, especially in the Shiite religion, can lead to the issuance of fatwas. The new ones should be 180 degrees different from the previous fatwa because of new situations. Those who turn a blind eye to this fact should recall the official words of the former Minister of Intelligence of the Islamic Republic of Iran, Mr. Alavi, who said: "Seriously, Islamic Republic of Iran will have to go to the atomic bomb to defend itself if enemies close all windows to Iran, and the fatwa issued by the Supreme Leader of the Revolution will be changed according to Islamic law."

Therefore, I, Saeed Shojaei Saadi, as an Internet-oriented researcher and analyst of world culture and peace, remind the Western countries, especially the United States and Israel, that if they do not immediately change their positions and reach a nuclear compromise agreements with Iran, we will see in the near future. The emergence of Islamic Iran with nuclear, missile and drone power at the level of a superpower.

However, various exercises conducted by the army and the Revolutionary Guards in recent years and months are evidence of Iran reaching the level of a major world power today.

Unfortunately, the Israeli government, which is very weak  against Hamas and Hezbollah, seeks to wage a great regional and even global war to cover up its extreme weakness, regardless of its destructive result for Israel, the region and even the world.

I hope that the leaders of the Western and Arab countries, etc., will approach this issue with a realistic view and will not be influenced by the crowded games and the deception of the Israeli government.

It will not take long for my analysis to be verified, because everything will be revealed soon.

 Saeed Shojaei Saadi

Shiraz,10/20/2021      

Thursday, October 14, 2021

Global call to prevent Atomic World War (III)

 



 prevent Atomic World War (III)This article examines the current state of the United Nations and the turbulent world on the eve of the devastating Third World War.

I( Saeed Shojaei Saadi, as an Internet-based researcher and analyst)have done a good deal of scientific research over the past three decades, unfortunately the result shows that the role of the United Nations in resolving problems between countries has greatly decreased since the collapse of the former Soviet Union.

 Due to the influence of countries, especially the five permanent members of the Security Council, its resolutions are ineffective.

  The weakness of the United Nations in this regard has led to increased tensions and conflicts between governments in all parts of the world.

My research also shows that most of the resolutions issued at this UN are unfortunately not made to ensure world peace and security, but to secure the political and economic interests of some influential powers around the world.

 In addition, the results of my research show that large multinational corporations have as much influence as one or more major global powers.

This means that in most cases, these multinational corporations, especially those active in the manufacture of weapons and related industries, force governments to wage a cold or real war with each other to secure their own interests.

Summarizing the results of my research has led me to the analysis that if the United Nations fails to play its former active and effective role immediately, the world will witness the outbreak of nuclear and World War III in the next 20 years, with billions of casualties. Which could eventually lead to the extinction of much of life on Earth.

Therefore, I, Saeed Shojaei Saadi, as an Internet-oriented researcher and analyst, suggest:

 The General Assembly and the Security Council shall take immediate action to restore the past useful status of the United Nations.

 I also suggest that all intellectuals, journalists, cultural and peace activists, university professors and teachers, and in one sentence "all the people of the world"  put pressure on their governments to pay more attention to world security and peace and prevent major regional and global wars.

I call on all the above-mentioned people around the world to become a missionary and peace activist so that the message of peace and friendship and the need to prevent a third world war can be conveyed more quickly to the people and governments of the world.

My background on the Internet shows that in recent decades, despite all the problems I have faced, I have been able to preach peace, friendship, human and moral values ​​to the people and governments of the world.

Saeed Shojaei Saadi 

10/14/2021


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